We are in the peak of Hurricane season, and the National Hurricane Center is watching a few disturbances along with Tropical Storm Gabrielle.
One disturbance is a weak area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave located a little more than 900 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This area is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The other is a tropical wave located just off the western coast of Africa, that is expected to move westward during the next several days.
The area that we need to keep an eye on, is the disturbance located near the Bahamas.
The NHC says, “Shower activity associated with a surface trough interacting with an upper-level low near the north coast of Hispaniola northeastward over the southwestern Atlantic has increased a little since yesterday. Little, if any, development of this disturbance is expected during the next few days while it moves west-northwestward across the Bahamas and the Florida peninsula. However, environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development when the system moves into the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend. Regardless of development, this disturbance will produce periods of locally heavy rainfall across the Bahamas through Thursday, and across Florida on Friday and continuing into the weekend.”
Chances of development over the next 5 days are low, 30 percent.