It’s June 1st, the first day of Hurricane Season, and the National Hurricane Center is predicting the 3rd named storm, Cristobal, to have an 80% chance of development over the next 5 days.
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A large area of disturbed weather, associated with the remnants of eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Amanda, is located over the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico. This disturbance is forecast to move northwestward over the southeastern portion of the Bay of Campeche later today or tonight where environmental conditions are expected to be conducive to support development, and a new tropical depression is likely to form within the next day or so. The system is then forecast to drift west or west-southwest over the southern Bay of Campeche through the middle of the week. Interests along the coast of the Bay of Campeche should monitor the progress of this disturbance. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, heavy rainfall is likely to continue over portions of southern Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Belize, and western Honduras during the next few days. For additional information on the rainfall threat, see products from your national meteorological service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent.